Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $58k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 1% | $10.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 99% · R Senate, D House 1% · Republicans Sweep 0% | $9.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 99% · Ken Paxton (R) 1% | $6.9M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Gina Hinojosa (D) 97% · Greg Abbott (R) 3% | $3.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 98% · Mike Rogers (R) 1% | $3.3M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Top Esports 6% · Invictus Gaming 94% | $2.7M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner | Top Esports 12% · Invictus Gaming 88% | $1.8M |
| South Carolina Senate Election Winner | Annie Andrews (D) 99% · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 1% | $1.5M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| winerluna | Up | $765.76 |
| 0x5563… | Up | $515.98 |
| 0x568b… | Up | $223.82 |
| metallica222 | Up | $200.92 |
| 0x108b… | Up | $185.71 |
| yguaihdkjls | Up | $164.58 |
| BrickThrower | Up | $158.80 |
| markolious | Up | $152.69 |
| doesnaughtmatter | Up | $126.42 |
| y8ke03 | Up | $124.29 |
| djaywc | Up | $122.58 |
| ApexUpDown | Up | $103.66 |
602 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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