Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 28¢) and lost. Volume $99k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $510k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $457k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 67% · Arthur Rinderknech 34% | $427k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $341k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xe5e1… | Up | $3k |
| oxe78sh4w98 | Up | $2k |
| everydaylastday | Up | $661.72 |
| 0x5e7e… | Up | $516.47 |
| 0xbadb… | Up | $463.92 |
| 0x568b… | Up | $259.78 |
| 0xdc27...afdd9a | Up | $257.55 |
| saulapremium | Up | $212.83 |
| collabbsucksandiswashedongrok | Up | $118.27 |
| BobbyBrant | Up | $94.56 |
| Jamel129 | Up | $90.71 |
| 0xbd81… | Up | $84.86 |
511 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $9.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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