Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 34¢) and lost. Volume $82k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 29% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 3% | $2.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 8% | $895k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti | Alexander Zverev 15% · Lorenzo Musetti 85% | $795k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $738k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $419k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| NIKOLAS2021 | Up | $302.31 |
| Haichalpetel | Up | $281.07 |
| CryptoBatman | Up | $242.74 |
| 0xb0da… | Up | $216.71 |
| 0x75ce… | Down | $215.94 |
| wbhk-trader1 | Up | $215.61 |
| yoyoyoyoyoyoyoyoyoyoyoyoyoyoyo | Up | $214.70 |
| Anicbo | Up | $197.62 |
| 0x4267… | Up | $182.93 |
| SilvioArzeno | Up | $124.57 |
| Alpharo28 | Up | $106.92 |
| renford18 | Up | $94.47 |
810 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $7.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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