Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢) and lost. Volume $40k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $936k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $816k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $694k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 43% · David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $401k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $332k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xff2f… | Down | $133 |
| 0x8490… | Down | $119.83 |
| 0x6daa… | Down | $109.25 |
| doesnaughtmatter | Down | $100 |
| 0x033e… | Down | $78.18 |
| 0x4b52… | Down | $68.03 |
| RowenSecret | Down | $65 |
| 0x18c1… | Down | $61.22 |
| 0x7743… | Down | $56.94 |
| Little-big | Down | $55.73 |
| IvanPykhtin | Down | $48.70 |
| MoneyForMaslo | Down | $45.73 |
507 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $6.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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