Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $40k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.3M |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 1% · Suns 99% | $1.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Heat 48% · Warriors 52% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $963k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $739k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 30% · Heat 70% | $579k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $398k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| nimbleraven | Up | $494.11 |
| 0xa33c… | Up | $416.31 |
| lkojihfafaf | Up | $142.39 |
| 0xf4d8… | Up | $126.00 |
| 0xb552… | Up | $118.35 |
| wbhk-trader1 | Up | $112.56 |
| kingjanpr | Up | $104.26 |
| 0x75ce… | Up | $103.38 |
| 0x7795… | Up | $96.08 |
| MoneyForMaslo | Up | $84.85 |
| djaywc | Up | $57.95 |
| aprf | Up | $52.28 |
543 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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