North Texas won. Smart money backed Florida Atlantic (9 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $527k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
200 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $17k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $53k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $646k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $571k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $437k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 20% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $297k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| justaluckydude | North Texas | $6k |
| 0xb4f9… | North Texas | $5k |
| karrigan1994 | North Texas | $922.17 |
| 0x81f0… | North Texas | $815.54 |
| uniform.cougar01 | North Texas | $792.00 |
| gagarin59 | North Texas | $616.15 |
| 0xa0f2… | North Texas | $532.83 |
| evanng | North Texas | $350.98 |
| cm2897 | North Texas | $306.96 |
| seeyouanymore | North Texas | $197.84 |
| lightotunnel35 | North Texas | $138.68 |
| 33omega | North Texas | $125 |