Toledo won. Smart money backed Sacramento State (14 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢) and lost. Volume $676k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $977k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 22% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $931k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $689k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic | Xinyu Wang 2% · Antonia Ruzic 98% | $500k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 74% · Puma Shen 27% | $352k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 3648393489047 | Toledo | $20k |
| 999585 | Toledo | $16k |
| ethanaz | Toledo | $11k |
| heyboy800 | Toledo | $2k |
| 0xf68a… | Toledo | $1k |
| TAIWANNUMBERONE | Toledo | $979.77 |
| unknowngambler | Toledo | $833.76 |
| ENDBOSSLLC | Toledo | $728.99 |
| lolzik | Toledo | $645.22 |
| justaluckydude | Toledo | $605.73 |
| RN1 | Toledo | $536.46 |
| Keilerbets | Sacramento State | $512.51 |
148 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $58k; the 55 biggest losers gave up $48k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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