The Pit won. Smart money backed Carolina Royal Ravens (5 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $2.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% | $1.5M |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 31% | $440k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Glenn Youngkin 0% · Nikki Haley 0% | $431k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $422k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 26% · Carlos Alcaraz 74% | $381k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 83% | $381k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | T1 35% · Karmine Corp 66% | $374k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Aunnest | The Pit | $18.93 |
| asdf1asdf111 | The Pit | $10.20 |
| Aunnest | Carolina Royal Ravens | $9.63 |
| asdfasdf333 | The Pit | $9.24 |
| BlackJacks | The Pit | $7.75 |
| dfwllsdfj | The Pit | $7.40 |
| Meji41 | The Pit | $6.70 |
| asdfsadfccc1 | The Pit | $6 |
| dddab11 | The Pit | $4.60 |
| asdfab | The Pit | $4.41 |
| User7429 | The Pit | $2.49 |
| 0xcba4… | The Pit | $1.86 |
32 wallets held a position at the close. The 13 biggest winners took $90; the 19 biggest losers gave up $220. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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