Los Angeles Thieves won. Smart money backed Vancouver Surge (4 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $2.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.4M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 28% · Carlos Alcaraz 72% | $622k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 32% | $474k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Glenn Youngkin 0% · Nikki Haley 0% | $431k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 83% | $406k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $399k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | T1 65% · Karmine Corp 36% | $366k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| majkl-dzordan | Los Angeles Thieves | $4.80 |
| Hihihaha-123 | Los Angeles Thieves | $2.78 |
| BigABigBigA | Los Angeles Thieves | $1.54 |
| iollyy | Los Angeles Thieves | $1.32 |
| sssssmm | Los Angeles Thieves | $1 |
| belaba | Los Angeles Thieves | $0.60 |
| 0x3aba… | Vancouver Surge | −$10.19 |
| IM2BLAME | Vancouver Surge | −$10.00 |
| 0xc78d… | Vancouver Surge | −$10.00 |
| Niko061198 | Vancouver Surge | −$5.00 |
| iloveoreos | Vancouver Surge | −$1.22 |
| 0x6964… | Vancouver Surge | −$1.12 |
14 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $12; the 8 biggest losers gave up $40. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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