No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $283k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 380-399 45% · 360-379 39% · 400-419 14% | $323k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 340-359 13% · 300-319 11% · 360-379 11% | $251k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 29% · 40-64 26% · 90-114 16% | $84k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner 65% · Jack Lowden 14% · No Bond chosen 10% | $56k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 96% · Avengers: Doomsday 5% | $36k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | 28m-31m 30% · <28m 27% · 37m-40m 9% | $16k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $8k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 280-299 10% · 420-439 5% · 560-579 1% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dafei888 | No | $1k |
| Mysaria | No | $436.57 |
| 0x5285… | No | $246.60 |
| pol76 | No | $223.79 |
| 0x0df4… | No | $166.13 |
| exboyfriendjustsentit | No | $156.24 |
| Ecnanif | No | $127.22 |
| welmar | Yes | $89.14 |
| 0xf14e… | No | $88.89 |
| Dr.napol | No | $84 |
| 0x1e0T6R5318CS78H73eR4 | No | $74.99 |
| YogiKimochi | No | $66.57 |
1,018 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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