Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 18¢) and lost. Volume $114k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 300-319 32% · 320-339 29% · 340-359 15% | $253k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 280-299 14% · 300-319 13% · 260-279 12% | $80k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $18k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026? | 65-89 39% · 90-114 24% · 40-64 18% | $18k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner 60% · No Bond chosen 18% · Jack Lowden 13% | $14k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 96% · Avengers: Doomsday 4% | $14k |
| GTA VI released by November 30? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $8k |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 54% · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 47% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| bilong237 | Yes | $1k |
| patouossa | Yes | $501.46 |
| MounirHolding | Yes | $386.25 |
| 0xe83c… | Yes | $383.25 |
| OstapP | Yes | $301.79 |
| 9figures2026 | Yes | $259.13 |
| zzhzz | Yes | $237.68 |
| dukies | Yes | $194.84 |
| 0xranjan | Yes | $185.95 |
| Rocklee05 | Yes | $165.80 |
| Sony237 | Yes | $149.44 |
| Fahgeyl | Yes | $122.78 |
326 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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