No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $368k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 380-399 46% · 360-379 30% · 400-419 16% | $285k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 360-379 13% · 340-359 13% · 320-339 12% | $224k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 32% · 40-64 27% · 90-114 20% | $116k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner 65% · Jack Lowden 15% · No Bond chosen 10% | $61k |
| Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | Yes 53% · No 47% | $25k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | 28m-31m 30% · <28m 26% · 37m-40m 10% | $16k |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $9k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| abinfafafa | Yes | $842.40 |
| yolol | No | $490.46 |
| Mommy007 | Yes | $104.03 |
| Mathius1 | Yes | $96.41 |
| 0xe83c… | Yes | $86.38 |
| luca88 | No | $80.80 |
| argall | Yes | $77.06 |
| Elonboy | Yes | $74.96 |
| yueyueyn | No | $65.61 |
| Cryptos24x7 | Yes | $43.40 |
| Never.regret | Yes | $38.89 |
| Vincent44230 | Yes | $36.03 |
203 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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