Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 82¢) and lost. Volume $317k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 280-299 43% · 300-319 34% · 320-339 11% | $413k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 260-279 15% · 220-239 14% · 240-259 14% | $151k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 94% · Avengers: Doomsday 6% | $46k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026? | 40-64 23% · 90-114 21% · 115-139 6% | $34k |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes 67% · No 34% | $20k |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 65% · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 36% | $18k |
| Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 65% · Avengers: Doomsday 37% | $15k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026? | 280-299 14% · 320-339 8% · 520-539 1% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| pikapikapika | Yes | $2k |
| Hiohigs | Yes | $1k |
| riskplay | Yes | $801.85 |
| Mr-Ferrari | Yes | $537.06 |
| 0xa67b… | Yes | $474.38 |
| rockat | Yes | $371.86 |
| karen2p | Yes | $370.46 |
| TrueEagle329 | Yes | $361.35 |
| flyingbird001 | Yes | $352.34 |
| 0x9611… | Yes | $298.72 |
| sjoerdvdmack | Yes | $287.18 |
| treh | Yes | $279.55 |
647 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $15k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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