No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢) and lost. Volume $75k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 300-319 33% · 320-339 26% · 280-299 17% | $279k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 280-299 15% · 300-319 14% · 320-339 13% | $104k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 3% · No 98% | $18k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026? | 65-89 39% · 90-114 25% · 40-64 19% | $17k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 93% · Avengers: Doomsday 7% | $14k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner 53% · No Bond chosen 18% · Jack Lowden 13% | $13k |
| GTA VI released by November 30? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $8k |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 62% · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| icariam06 | No | $84.00 |
| Mei-ji | Yes | $83.58 |
| YuzuLemon | No | $65.20 |
| hetacz | No | $57 |
| Espagan | No | $49.33 |
| BBchike | Yes | $46.74 |
| Sarths | No | $30.29 |
| thisissocool11 | No | $30.29 |
| qwen300.fund | No | $29.97 |
| dscascsac | No | $28.31 |
| newniuniu | No | $27.40 |
| Konium | No | $27.35 |
181 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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