No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢) and lost. Volume $181k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 280-299 40% · 300-319 33% · 260-279 14% | $403k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 260-279 14% · 220-239 13% · 240-259 12% | $144k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 94% · Avengers: Doomsday 6% | $45k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026? | 65-89 42% · 90-114 25% · 40-64 19% | $28k |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes 65% · No 36% | $20k |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 65% · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 36% | $18k |
| Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 65% · Avengers: Doomsday 37% | $15k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| AndreaPirlo | No | $471.97 |
| Ecnanif | No | $113.23 |
| sebyastiens | Yes | $105.81 |
| 0x4efc… | Yes | $91.89 |
| 0xB177dvgu7 | No | $47.84 |
| upont | No | $42.24 |
| CaprioDiLeo | No | $41.73 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $41.08 |
| grokel | No | $36.09 |
| ChunkyMonky | Yes | $33.48 |
| CakeBake | No | $32 |
| 0xdb6b… | No | $26.57 |
147 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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