No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $66k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 380-399 42% · 360-379 27% · 400-419 20% | $421k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 380-399 14% · 320-339 12% · 340-359 12% | $172k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 27% · 90-114 27% · 40-64 18% | $63k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner 46% · Jack Lowden 24% · No Bond chosen 14% | $48k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95% · Avengers: Doomsday 5% | $36k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | <28m 36% · 28m-31m 29% · 31m-34m 13% | $15k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 280-299 11% · 420-439 5% · 560-579 1% | $10k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 3% · No 98% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| carboyant | No | $34.96 |
| upont | No | $17.61 |
| onekey02 | No | $7.83 |
| 0x2924… | No | $6.80 |
| stompychan | Yes | $3.29 |
| CakeBake | No | $3.11 |
| kroko | Yes | $1.79 |
| oboltusovao | No | $1.11 |
| 4Prudence123 | No | $0.80 |
| CaprioDiLeo | No | $0.57 |
| 0x5e3c… | No | $0.56 |
| haveagoodday | No | $0.54 |
29 wallets held a position at the close. The 13 biggest winners took $79; the 16 biggest losers gave up $111. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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