No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $62k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 300-319 24% · 320-339 22% · 340-359 17% | $243k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 83% · 90-114 18% · 115-139 1% | $103k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 320-339 12% · 300-319 11% · 260-279 10% | $60k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner 61% · No Bond chosen 18% · Jack Lowden 12% | $17k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026? | 65-89 37% · 40-64 16% · 115-139 12% | $13k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $11k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 96% · Avengers: Doomsday 5% | $11k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | <28m 37% · 28m-31m 23% · 34m-37m 14% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| carmelk | No | $113.65 |
| rocky42014 | No | $55.26 |
| fishpapav | No | $54.73 |
| lpgb | No | $34.71 |
| CaprioDiLeo | No | $26.49 |
| sferfgefvrfgh1234 | No | $24.21 |
| beshbarmak | No | $14.72 |
| fastandfudurious | No | $14.09 |
| qjsv3 | No | $11.04 |
| win-win-win99 | No | $10.11 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | $9.50 |
| DrunkenKraken | No | $7.33 |
98 wallets held a position at the close. The 53 biggest winners took $477; the 45 biggest losers gave up $900. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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