No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $96k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 400-419 22% · 420-439 21% · 440-459 18% | $276k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 380-399 13% · 360-379 13% · 400-419 12% | $122k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026? | 90-114 45% · 115-139 42% · 140-164 9% | $117k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 47% · Callum Turner 25% · No Bond chosen 12% | $48k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95% · Avengers: Doomsday 5% | $33k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 90-114 32% · 65-89 17% · 40-64 7% | $13k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 340-359 14% · 320-339 13% · 420-439 7% | $7k |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| touxie | No | $353.56 |
| rocky42014 | No | $237.93 |
| fishpapav | No | $140.13 |
| lpgb | No | $88.26 |
| AllyouneedisClaude | No | $87.11 |
| ElonSimp | Yes | $78.48 |
| 0x4caa… | No | $63.88 |
| CaprioDiLeo | No | $56.92 |
| XXHXX | No | $54.16 |
| ElonJail | No | $53.84 |
| anon264811 | No | $53.55 |
| fastandfudurious | No | $47.04 |
217 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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