No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 11¢) and lost. Volume $1.0M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 380-399 62% · 360-379 26% · 400-419 11% | $275k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 340-359 14% · 300-319 14% · 320-339 12% | $221k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 41% · 40-64 26% · 90-114 21% | $85k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner 54% · Jack Lowden 17% · No Bond chosen 10% | $56k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | <28m 34% · 28m-31m 20% · 31m-34m 17% | $22k |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 55% · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 46% | $9k |
| Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $9k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 280-299 12% · 340-359 9% · 180-199 3% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| POIbabydog | No | $380.91 |
| sferfgefvrfgh1234 | No | $320.25 |
| jidong9808 | No | $244.23 |
| Po1yBot-gDgR6e4EGH | No | $210.01 |
| ExpectedValue098 | No | $207.30 |
| BayesianBet888 | No | $207.30 |
| SignalNotNoise001 | No | $207.30 |
| QuantQuark887 | No | $207.30 |
| OddsOptimizer099 | No | $207.30 |
| AestusValueLab | No | $181.28 |
| 0x5285… | No | $167.04 |
| swd2026 | No | $143.09 |
445 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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