Down won. Volume $6.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 38% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $10.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $3.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 25% | $3.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $2.0M |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Cavaliers 18% · Thunder 82% | $1.7M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.5M |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 91% · Pacers 9% | $1.3M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Maxi19 | Down | $40.42 |
| minusalpha1 | Down | $15.20 |
| 0x1bc3… | Down | $10.84 |
| Bobby3033 | Down | $4.40 |
| alpacanow | Down | $4.10 |
| aileichan | Down | $3.86 |
| kfish999 | Down | $3.66 |
| 0xpolisai | Up | $1.69 |
| JustInvestor1 | Down | $1.02 |
| 0xd168… | Up | −$19.43 |
| nibbio4 | Up | −$15.09 |
| CERTova | Up | −$14.97 |
30 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $85; the 21 biggest losers gave up $112. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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