Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $2.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 24% | $3.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $2.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.5M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot | Novak Djokovic 87% · Valentin Vacherot 13% | $1.1M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $980k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| A0A0A | Up | $63.48 |
| 77usa | Up | $13.39 |
| 0xb976… | Up | $12.31 |
| TheIntraMonk | Up | $6.90 |
| 0xdevjoepol | Up | $6.87 |
| kevincassa | Up | $6.28 |
| randombuys | Up | $6.07 |
| Serdaralp | Up | $4.54 |
| 0x7b7a… | Up | $4.50 |
| 0x1b14… | Up | $4.35 |
| alpacanow | Up | $3.70 |
| aileichan | Up | $3.27 |
44 wallets held a position at the close. The 29 biggest winners took $165; the 15 biggest losers gave up $188. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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