Up won. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 45¢) and lost. Volume $6.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $510k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $457k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 65% · Arthur Rinderknech 36% | $427k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $341k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| soswald1 | Up | $17.69 |
| demouser7770 | Up | $14.44 |
| dsnjhkl34wtu | Up | $8.39 |
| 0x5d72… | Up | $7.92 |
| helloworld000123 | Up | $7.67 |
| kevincassa | Up | $7.63 |
| winerluna | Up | $7.13 |
| caffeine87 | Up | $5.40 |
| cactus-test-v2 | Up | $4.04 |
| 0x17db… | Up | $4 |
| cactus-test | Up | $3.41 |
| leo7777777 | Up | $3.30 |
82 wallets held a position at the close. The 47 biggest winners took $144; the 35 biggest losers gave up $290. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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