Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $6.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 26% | $3.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $3.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 78% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.6M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.1M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 67% · David Jolly (D) 35% | $905k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xae68… | Up | $14.73 |
| 0x883a… | Up | $9.04 |
| 0x1031… | Up | $8.60 |
| winerluna | Up | $6.91 |
| demouser7770 | Up | $6.07 |
| xxcrt | Up | $4.74 |
| latencylegend | Up | $2.61 |
| 0xd739… | Up | $2.45 |
| soswald1 | Up | $2.35 |
| Bobby3033 | Up | $2.33 |
| megabob6969 | Up | $2.24 |
| DeFi-Blub | Up | $2.17 |
49 wallets held a position at the close. The 30 biggest winners took $83; the 19 biggest losers gave up $181. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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