Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $3.3M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA, MI 2% | $4.4M |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos | Chiefs 59% · Broncos 42% | $2.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.3M |
| Chargers vs. Rams | Chargers 15% · Rams 85% | $1.1M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 75% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $978k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $791k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| alexfunfunfun | Yes | $5k |
| BubbleTea | Yes | $2k |
| 0x5f37… | Yes | $2k |
| 0x242e… | Yes | $2k |
| sudowudo | Yes | $988.20 |
| Wenss | Yes | $938.27 |
| vjfhy | No | $628.42 |
| ehsbhcv | No | $570.56 |
| Goemon | Yes | $564.10 |
| Sermie | Yes | $496.45 |
| Ernst | Yes | $490.79 |
| DonnieBolena | Yes | $450.97 |
1,208 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $25k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $38k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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