Down won. Smart money backed Up (5 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $2.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $945k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $923k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $598k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 53% · T1 20% · Bilibili Gaming 14% | $392k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $346k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96df… | Down | $31.28 |
| xD89E896873919dd0B783b9f426ccDDA0f874f1F6 | Down | $4.80 |
| hunter15m | Down | $4.50 |
| 0x96da… | Down | $4.50 |
| dangtruong1991 | Down | $2.63 |
| 0x52cc… | Down | $1.92 |
| devrsingh | Down | $1.76 |
| alphafeed-a | Down | $1 |
| bigmouth23 | Down | $0.88 |
| 0x8711… | Down | $0.85 |
| pymlsth | Down | $0.84 |
| danielwinall | Down | $0.67 |
32 wallets held a position at the close. The 17 biggest winners took $58; the 15 biggest losers gave up $90. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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