Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 35¢) and lost. Volume $139k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.1M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $5.9M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $3.9M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $3.1M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.1M |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 39% · Seahawks 62% | $623k |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 79% · Pacers 22% | $587k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x55be… | Up | $7k |
| 196874353278 | Up | $2k |
| trader-827e741f | Up | $564.38 |
| 0xa19c… | Up | $335.01 |
| 196874353278 | Down | $246.31 |
| Niseko | Up | $166.12 |
| 0x0b62… | Up | $132.87 |
| beoli | Down | $110 |
| Arianitt | Down | $99.71 |
| trader-05ddbe2e | Up | $90.09 |
| Darthc0der | Up | $73.19 |
| honk75 | Up | $72.20 |
138 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $11k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $6.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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