Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $62k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $11.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $6.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $6.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 27% | $3.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $3.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.6M |
| Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart | Galatasaray SK 88% · VfB Stuttgart 3% | $1.2M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.2M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 196874353278 | Up | $1k |
| coinman2 | Up | $1k |
| 0x06dc… | Up | $654.13 |
| 0x0b62… | Up | $230.08 |
| Niseko | Up | $177 |
| trader-827e741f | Up | $125.31 |
| JSMongolia | Up | $119.45 |
| trader-05ddbe2e | Up | $94.25 |
| Darthc0der | Up | $75.68 |
| ComTruise | Up | $47.58 |
| 0xa19c… | Up | $35.75 |
| 7602026 | Up | $27.14 |
98 wallets held a position at the close. The 51 biggest winners took $4.3k; the 47 biggest losers gave up $3.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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