Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $2.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70% · No change 29% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.7M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 40% · BetBoom Team 60% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $950k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 21% · Kamala Harris 4% | $764k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 19% | $488k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $462k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 71% · Puma Shen 30% | $425k |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | FURIA 57% · BetBoom Team 43% | $275k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| YoungAlphaGoat | Yes | $58.30 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | $36 |
| needleladder | Yes | $34.59 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | $28.75 |
| 0x5652… | Yes | $27.09 |
| annont | Yes | $23 |
| 0x3b79… | Yes | $19.79 |
| 0x3a53… | Yes | $18.50 |
| 0xa2b6… | No | $17.30 |
| GrupoM4 | Yes | $16.67 |
| financegaaaydog | Yes | $12.93 |
| ddd141 | Yes | $12 |
27 wallets held a position at the close. The 20 biggest winners took $343; the 7 biggest losers gave up $102. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.