No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 11¢) and lost. Volume $2.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| F1: Action of the Year | Max Verstappen 70% · Kimi Antonelli 21% · Lewis Hamilton 3% | $5k |
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $1k |
| F1 Constructors' Champion | Mercedes 100% · Ferrari 0% | $902.11 |
| Will an F1 race be held in Saudi Arabia in 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $294 |
| Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $183.18 |
| F1 Drivers' Champion: 2nd Place | Max Verstappen 76% · Lewis Hamilton 25% · Charles Leclerc 22% | $156.75 |
| F1 Drivers' Champion: 3rd Place | Max Verstappen 39% · Kimi Antonelli 4% | $156.32 |
| Will Lando Norris finish fifth in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? | Yes 38% · No 62% | $123.66 |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| probability | No | $47.29 |
| mishipolis | No | $37.42 |
| almosthere | No | $9.37 |
| 0x3d95… | No | $1.36 |
| nognach | Yes | −$200 |
| Campi | Yes | −$77.80 |
| TatumGoat00 | Yes | −$5 |
| jmp25 | Yes | −$3 |
| botmy | Yes | −$1.50 |
| jamesSt | Yes | −$1 |
10 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $95; the 6 biggest losers gave up $288. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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