No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $3.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $1k |
| F1 Constructors' Champion | Mercedes 100% · Ferrari 0% | $859.91 |
| F1: Action of the Year | Max Verstappen 57% · Kimi Antonelli 24% · Lewis Hamilton 4% | $806.74 |
| Mexican Grand Prix: Constructor Fastest Lap | Ferrari 100% · Aston Martin 1% · Williams 1% | $187.61 |
| Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Yes 50% · No 50% | $161.69 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli finish third in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $151.32 |
| F1 Drivers' Champion: 2nd Place | Max Verstappen 67% · Lewis Hamilton 31% · Charles Leclerc 26% | $132.68 |
| Will Lando Norris finish fifth in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? | Yes 39% · No 62% | $123.66 |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| PollyEmperor | No | $191.53 |
| 0x2fdc… | No | $149.27 |
| ddnpl | No | $91.96 |
| StudyPrediction | No | $85.52 |
| 2Week1Shower | No | $80.82 |
| Fortou777 | No | $74.90 |
| 0xa23b… | No | $61 |
| mishipolis | No | $51.09 |
| probability | No | $42.44 |
| PollyEmperor | Yes | $34.03 |
| 0xac60… | No | $27.81 |
| almosthere | No | $27.64 |
61 wallets held a position at the close. The 29 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 32 biggest losers gave up $497. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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