No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $27k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner | Max Verstappen 28% · Kimi Antonelli 19% · Lewis Hamilton 9% | $6k |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $2k |
| F1: Action of the Year | Max Verstappen 73% · Lewis Hamilton 1% · Lando Norris 1% | $2k |
| Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix? | Yes 45% · No 55% | $665.23 |
| Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $583.23 |
| Will an F1 race be held in Saudi Arabia in 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $294 |
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $207.69 |
| F1 Drivers' Champion: 3rd Place | Lewis Hamilton 45% · George Russell 44% · Max Verstappen 40% | $167.57 |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| probability | Yes | $88.30 |
| tellmehowtowin | No | $65.19 |
| VeeFriendsDownUnder | No | $46.38 |
| AvocadosFromMexico | No | $40.08 |
| 0x5e3c… | No | $36.31 |
| OrwellFactory | No | $35.17 |
| DuneMentat | No | $21.67 |
| Hjklm | No | $18.71 |
| SunlineTicker | No | $13.85 |
| jmp123 | No | $12.89 |
| Jest55 | Yes | $9.68 |
| 0xbeaf… | No | $9.09 |
81 wallets held a position at the close. The 25 biggest winners took $434; the 56 biggest losers gave up $2.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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