No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $4.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $938k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $936k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $598k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $355k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $331k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| leurop0 | No | $147.10 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | $46.20 |
| brra | No | $18 |
| rubby1337 | No | $11.00 |
| 0x7d70… | No | $10.40 |
| 0x7b83… | No | $10 |
| bjprolo | No | $9.90 |
| needleladder | Yes | $6.00 |
| 0x3b79… | Yes | $1.48 |
| coldreserve | Yes | $1.40 |
| atavistic | No | $0.54 |
| pad6 | No | $0.52 |
29 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $263; the 17 biggest losers gave up $651. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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