No 80% · Yes 21%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 62¢). Volume $12k, liquidity $24k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $250k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 5% | $233k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 23% | $226k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $174k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $172k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $137k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $110k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $107k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 1k |
| Gl4d | Yes | 600 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 341 |
| GarthBroadmore | Yes | 340 |
| burge146 | Yes | 228 |
| vamnizar | Yes | 161 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 61 |
| DrChristian | Yes | 60 |
| longdated-poli | Yes | 36 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 30 |
| justme003 | No | 1k |
| mombil | No | 757 |
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