Yes won. Volume $422k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 65% · Anthropic 34% | $103k |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 35% · $1.5–$1.75T 21% · $2.0–$2.25T 18% | $95k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $77k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $71k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes 19% · No 81% | $46k |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $33k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $30k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $26k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x72a0… | Yes | $7k |
| dontkn0w | Yes | $5k |
| kulipa | Yes | $2k |
| btczahar | Yes | $2k |
| POLO | Yes | $1k |
| lasix928 | Yes | $968.65 |
| 0x2aef… | Yes | $942.69 |
| 0xb1ae… | Yes | $739.02 |
| IN.PM | No | $732.64 |
| Ilikepieboy1312 | Yes | $700.48 |
| IKnowSomethingForSure | Yes | $615.05 |
| nocturne481 | No | $614.87 |
594 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $30k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $41k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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