Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 60¢) and lost. Volume $16k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $67k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 43% · 72-73°F 34% · 76-77°F 19% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 51% · 27°C 42% · 29°C 9% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 29°C 45% · 28°C 42% · 27°C 6% | $11k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 26°C 79% · 25°C 21% · 24°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 3? | 18°C 46% · 19°C 43% · 20°C 7% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 3? | 16°C 62% · 17°C 27% · 15°C 10% | $10k |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| KickstandBot | Yes | $334.18 |
| fildoro | Yes | $304.12 |
| LowTempTation | Yes | $211.87 |
| Youtec | Yes | $199.67 |
| nexttwo | Yes | $173.58 |
| sswlnl77 | Yes | $117.02 |
| 0x1c98… | Yes | $105.84 |
| yueyueyn | Yes | $86.41 |
| wfffkkl | Yes | $63.18 |
| chaorenD | Yes | $61.32 |
| hn54pVpVmJsjn2CA | Yes | $53.44 |
| cedriss | Yes | $49.46 |
156 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $999. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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