No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $3.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 51% · 21°C 25% · 19°C 17% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 50% · 27°C 33% · 29°C 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 44% · 76-77°F 38% · 80-81°F 13% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 53% · 62-63°F 35% · 64-65°F 4% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 52% · 19°C 42% · 18°C 6% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| HellYeahTrader | No | $33.98 |
| 241532532432 | No | $24.84 |
| arehovbrow | No | $23.97 |
| 0x65f7… | No | $22.33 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $20.63 |
| Bilberry | No | $19.66 |
| ghorrock | No | $16.37 |
| cigarettes | No | $16.36 |
| 0x03a4… | No | $16.08 |
| hello.67 | No | $12.51 |
| 0x3340… | No | $12.35 |
| baller-80b2 | No | $10.80 |
106 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $396; the 44 biggest losers gave up $461. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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