No won. Smart money backed Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢) and lost. Volume $5.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 97% · 14°C 2% · 15°C 0% | $50k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 30°C 52% · 29°C 45% · 31°C 6% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 55% · 33°C 45% | $21k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 62% · 21°C 21% · 19°C 18% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 53% · 3°C 44% · 4°C 3% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 46% · 13°C 31% · 11°C 13% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 17°C 48% · 16°C 48% · 18°C 5% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $161.43 |
| blowdryer | No | $120.85 |
| rubby-always-wins | No | $70.47 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $45.47 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $30.90 |
| 0x567 | No | $26.80 |
| krbrv | No | $22.23 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $20.27 |
| whhisky | No | $18.75 |
| 0x2706… | No | $18.39 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $16.45 |
| kerbrerv | No | $15.05 |
105 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $750; the 45 biggest losers gave up $726. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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