Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 68¢) and lost. Volume $5.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $34k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 3? | 21°C 99% · 23°C 1% · 22°C 1% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 3? | 29°C 65% · 28°C 49% · 30°C 4% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 37% · 76-77°F 29% · 72-73°F 10% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 99% · 29°C 0% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 3? | 19°C 94% · 20°C 8% · 21°C 0% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 3? | 11°C 66% · 12°C 31% · 10°C 8% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 3? | 17°C 93% · 18°C 5% · 19°C 0% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BudgetDegen420 | Yes | $82.00 |
| 0xb3d7… | Yes | $63.36 |
| LuisBot | Yes | $54.53 |
| 0x1024… | Yes | $51 |
| HBX02 | Yes | $49.45 |
| Windollar | Yes | $35.68 |
| VitoCorleone777 | Yes | $30.52 |
| Niuniujiaoyi2244 | Yes | $26.84 |
| AppleCider22 | Yes | $23.03 |
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | $20.02 |
| bytheriversofb | Yes | $17.66 |
| SuperMatrix | Yes | $17.53 |
65 wallets held a position at the close. The 43 biggest winners took $607; the 22 biggest losers gave up $351. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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