No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $3.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 52% · No 48% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 52% · 70-71°F 34% · 74-75°F 7% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 63% · 6°C 1% · 7°C 0% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 99% · 3°C 1% · 4°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 42% · 13°C 26% · 11°C 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 6? | 86-87°F 66% · 84-85°F 33% · 82-83°F 3% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 48% · 27°C 32% · 29°C 16% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mashuuuu | No | $3.97 |
| UKRAINEforever | No | $3.60 |
| pungerman | No | $1.25 |
| 241532532432 | No | $1.13 |
| indiaforever | No | $0.85 |
| damiduo | No | $0.70 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $0.65 |
| zhangca | No | $0.50 |
| Maddad | Yes | −$10.97 |
| mar1337 | Yes | −$1.32 |
| Nhlanhla2002 | Yes | −$1 |
| 2dogsconnected | No | −$0.55 |
13 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $13; the 5 biggest losers gave up $14. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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