Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 72¢) and lost. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 30°C 43% · 31°C 42% · 29°C 13% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 82-83°F 38% · 80-81°F 28% · 84-85°F 15% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 8°C 55% · 9°C 42% · 10°C 3% | $11k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 42% · 19°C 28% · 17°C 23% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 11°C 51% · 12°C 42% · 13°C 6% | $8k |
| What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño? | Over 2.5 73% · 2.25–2.5 23% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 2? | 64-65°F 24% · 68-69°F 13% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| andyjoy | Yes | $413.02 |
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $391.91 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $267.94 |
| 0xa1cc… | Yes | $160.50 |
| NB-03B15-02 | Yes | $107.03 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $96.50 |
| sogalemuch | Yes | $90.38 |
| shamubronze3 | Yes | $38.21 |
| sssssssssssssssq | Yes | $34.40 |
| gaaaydoggggg | Yes | $34.37 |
| ggily611a | Yes | $33.03 |
| e4s6r7.pm | Yes | $31.92 |
121 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.1k; the 53 biggest losers gave up $2.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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