No won. Smart money backed Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 63% · No 37% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 47% · 19°C 35% · 21°C 8% | $13k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 54% · 27°C 31% · 29°C 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 45% · 76-77°F 39% · 80-81°F 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 62-63°F 47% · 60-61°F 42% · 64-65°F 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 54% · 19°C 37% · 18°C 5% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on November 7? | 50-51°F 52% · 48-49°F 41% · 52-53°F 6% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| sbel | No | $24.07 |
| Thermomenal | No | $9.56 |
| 0x4466… | No | $7.25 |
| yellowhp | No | $5.84 |
| Z7dk3 | No | $4.80 |
| televisionloud | No | $4.50 |
| 0x7e16… | No | $3.46 |
| rocky42018 | No | $3.39 |
| Eucadet | No | $3.20 |
| Handmade-Rug | No | $3.15 |
| 241532532432 | No | $2.92 |
| whhisky | No | $2.67 |
58 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $107; the 21 biggest losers gave up $185. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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