No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $3.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 47% · 19°C 33% · 21°C 16% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 52% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 44% · 62-63°F 42% · 64-65°F 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 51% · 19°C 34% · 18°C 7% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 39% · 80-81°F 11% · 74-75°F 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Happening9014 | No | $14.89 |
| ZedXian | No | $7.90 |
| 0xa081… | No | $7.47 |
| nzbryant-wbt | No | $5.80 |
| televisionloud | No | $3.40 |
| 0x4466… | No | $2.88 |
| radeksaturka | No | $2.71 |
| pppnn | No | $2.60 |
| 0xace0… | Yes | $1.81 |
| yuihongs | Yes | $1.43 |
| bhuumi | No | $1.20 |
| ghorrock | No | $1.19 |
34 wallets held a position at the close. The 22 biggest winners took $60; the 12 biggest losers gave up $97. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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