No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $4.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 49% · 19°C 28% · 21°C 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 51% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 44% · 76-77°F 37% · 80-81°F 13% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 46% · 62-63°F 38% · 64-65°F 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 56% · 19°C 41% · 18°C 5% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Pellepele | No | $43.89 |
| fildoro | No | $25.12 |
| frogcast | No | $18.44 |
| 0x1941… | No | $16.12 |
| 0x9506… | No | $12.82 |
| 0x567 | No | $8.76 |
| Windollar | No | $7 |
| 0x2706… | No | $6.23 |
| sunkisser | No | $5.17 |
| HHR-TEST1 | No | $4.51 |
| 0x03a4… | No | $4 |
| sswlnl77 | No | $3.49 |
49 wallets held a position at the close. The 27 biggest winners took $177; the 22 biggest losers gave up $179. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Tech & Science's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.