Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $4.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
81 wallets held a position at the close. The 42 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 39 biggest losers gave up $761. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 1? | 60-61°F 59% · 62-63°F 34% · 64-65°F 5% | $24k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 1? | 11°C 99% · 12°C 4% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 1? | 11°C 87% · 12°C 15% · 13°C 1% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 1? | 8°C 97% · 9°C 2% · 10°C 0% | $16k |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 1? | 13°C 62% · 14°C 36% · 15°C or higher 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 1? | 60-61°F 61% · 62-63°F 31% · 58-59°F 8% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Foratata | Yes | $245.24 |
| sleeper-service | Yes | $186.68 |
| Mymycrousty67 | Yes | $126.15 |
| BudgetDegen420 | Yes | $85.08 |
| yellowhp | Yes | $80.86 |
| 0xe031… | Yes | $73.20 |
| WrongBy1Degree | Yes | $66.62 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $48.75 |
| 0xSPBB | Yes | $44.94 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $29.92 |
| aze3 | Yes | $18.43 |
| deferredgratification | Yes | $15.25 |