No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $9.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 47% · 19°C 33% · 21°C 16% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 52% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 44% · 62-63°F 42% · 64-65°F 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 54% · 19°C 35% · 18°C 7% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 39% · 80-81°F 10% · 74-75°F 6% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Winteriscoming. | No | $112.26 |
| gugagugagu | No | $82.73 |
| shamubronze3 | No | $56.14 |
| 241532532432 | No | $35.83 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $35.28 |
| polichsehyun | No | $34.95 |
| 2B9S | No | $34.71 |
| 0xyahn | No | $28.96 |
| 0x79c2… | No | $27.25 |
| Up2333 | Yes | $25.78 |
| fcwl | No | $24.82 |
| hfrozendancer | No | $20.22 |
143 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $863; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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