No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 4? | 18°C 97% · 19°C 3% · 17°C 1% | $42k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 4? | 30°C 56% · 31°C 44% · 32°C 2% | $13k |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4? | Yes 31% · No 69% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 4? | 28°C 59% · 27°C 34% · 26°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4? | 28°C 48% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 4? | 18°C 50% · 17°C 42% · 16°C 5% | $10k |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 4? | 10°C 59% · 11°C 19% · 9°C 17% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| overwhelming | No | $159.11 |
| hansonjc | Yes | $43.25 |
| 0xSPBB | No | $39.78 |
| azhasj | No | $14.27 |
| Advanced-Volcano | No | $13.80 |
| 241532532432 | No | $8.99 |
| hansonjc | No | $8.55 |
| ravendaren | No | $5.68 |
| Tiou | No | $5.56 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $5.45 |
| Tallguy2527 | No | $5 |
| 0x1ba6… | No | $4.86 |
85 wallets held a position at the close. The 40 biggest winners took $361; the 45 biggest losers gave up $588. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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