Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 93¢) and lost. Volume $48k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 31°C 42% · 30°C 42% · 29°C 13% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 82-83°F 36% · 80-81°F 28% · 84-85°F 20% | $13k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 8°C 53% · 9°C 45% · 10°C 4% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 11°C 51% · 12°C 42% · 13°C 5% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 43% · 19°C 28% · 17°C 24% | $9k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 47% · 76-77°F 10% · 82-83°F 8% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bilberry | Yes | $2k |
| Techone | Yes | $803.56 |
| WeatherHK2 | Yes | $581.74 |
| Skywill | Yes | $410.35 |
| Bertrame6868 | Yes | $369.95 |
| polyweatheryuan | Yes | $325.64 |
| FootballGoat | Yes | $257.89 |
| Lucas221 | Yes | $204.98 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $187.91 |
| CreamCream1215 | Yes | $165.69 |
| yaoying666 | Yes | $155.25 |
| 0x3340… | Yes | $118.97 |
191 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $7.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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