No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $2.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 56% · 19°C 30% · 21°C 8% | $16k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 59% · 27°C 25% · 29°C 19% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 62-63°F 48% · 60-61°F 42% · 64-65°F 7% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 52% · 19°C 39% · 18°C 3% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 38% · 80-81°F 12% · 74-75°F 7% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 7? | 66-67°F 45% · 64-65°F 36% · 68-69°F 9% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| StayFreshCheeseBags | No | $7.49 |
| 0xace0… | Yes | $3.27 |
| youyouhaixiao | No | $2.32 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $2.01 |
| Jeffreyfan | No | $1.84 |
| ghorrock | No | $1.59 |
| AppleCider22 | No | $1.24 |
| dandanteng | No | $1.01 |
| man-enough | No | $1.00 |
| god83743894 | No | $0.92 |
| StayFreshCheeseBags | Yes | $0.76 |
| zanyat | No | $0.76 |
30 wallets held a position at the close. The 15 biggest winners took $26; the 15 biggest losers gave up $46. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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