No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $2.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $67k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 52% · 76-77°F 24% · 72-73°F 22% | $11k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 26°C 71% · 25°C 32% · 24°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 44% · 29°C 40% · 27°C 10% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 59% · 27°C 35% · 29°C 9% | $10k |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 3? | 11°C 63% · 12°C 29% · 10°C 6% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| bryant666888 | No | $9.42 |
| hello.67 | No | $7.93 |
| dandanteng | No | $3.76 |
| 0xaba7… | No | $3.76 |
| MrBPT | No | $3.75 |
| m-syy | No | $2.98 |
| haveagoodday | No | $2.27 |
| Bilberry | No | $1.50 |
| whhisky | No | $1.33 |
| p4-weather | No | $1.20 |
| 0x083b… | No | $0.90 |
| tetriary | No | $0.90 |
23 wallets held a position at the close. The 19 biggest winners took $44; the 4 biggest losers gave up $7. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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