Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 4? | 30°C 51% · 31°C 49% · 32°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 4? | 18°C 96% · 19°C 4% | $12k |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4? | 28°C 53% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 13% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 4? | 28°C 59% · 27°C 37% · 26°C 3% | $11k |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 4? | 17°C 51% · 18°C 41% · 16°C 7% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 4? | 10°C 60% · 9°C 18% · 11°C 17% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $361.88 |
| rocky42004 | Yes | $152.71 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | $125.74 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $119.35 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $103.78 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $90.70 |
| elvanozein | Yes | $86.85 |
| Mymycrousty67 | Yes | $66.16 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $65.87 |
| BrettAutomatic | Yes | $64.67 |
| dfdsfsf140 | Yes | $60.30 |
| AuspiciousWolf | Yes | $57.16 |
132 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.9k; the 48 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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